Suriye 5-1 Afganistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup Qualifiers, 31 Mar 2026

📅31/03/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.03
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
82%
-3.2pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.6pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suriye EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Afganistan EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.64/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.93
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +53%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suriye
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Afganistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.06.2025 Afganistan Afganistan 0-1 HT 0-1 Suriye Suriye ASKE
POST-MATCH Suriye vs Afganistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suriye ran out comfortable winners over Afganistan 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suriye as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Suriye vs Afganistan?

Suriye 5-1 Afganistan in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suriye vs Afganistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suriye win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Suriye 79%, draw 13%, Afganistan 8%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suriye), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suriye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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