İngiltere U21 4-1 Moldova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 31 Mar 2026

İngiltere U21
4-1 HT 1-0
Moldova U21
📅31/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
European U21 – 2027

İngiltere U21 vs Moldova U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.28
2-3 Goals
35%
2.45
4-5 Goals
32%
2.21
6+ Goals
17%
3.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
85%
-2.7pp
11%
Draw
8%
+2.3pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İngiltere U21 v Moldova U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
2.93/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.05
+10% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
541 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
42.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
19.1 Crosses 8.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

İngiltere U21 vs Moldova U21 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Moldova U21
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.45 xG 0.12
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
644 Passes 141
93% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.10.2025 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 0-4 HT 0-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
09.09.2014 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 0-3 HT 0-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
05.09.2013 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 U21

İngiltere U21 4-1 Moldova U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere U21
4-1
AWAY Moldova U21
2.98 xG 0.25
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
610 Passes 160
92% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İngiltere U21 vs Moldova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U21 cruised past Moldova U21 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere U21 as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İngiltere U21 had 74% of the ball to Moldova U21's 26%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.98 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İngiltere U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for İngiltere U21 and 0.00 for Moldova U21.

What was the final score of İngiltere U21 vs Moldova U21?

İngiltere U21 4-1 Moldova U21 in the European U21 on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere U21 vs Moldova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U21 83%, draw 11%, Moldova U21 7%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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