Mlada Boleslav 3-1 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 May 2024

Mlada Boleslav
3-1 HT 2-0
Hradec Kralove
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2023/2024

Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mlada Boleslav v Hradec Kralove — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
0.86/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.88
-12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.3 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
163 Passes 238
55% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.09.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-1 HT 3-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.05.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.05.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
18.02.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.11.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-5 HT 1-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav TİPSK

Mlada Boleslav 3-1 Hradec Kralove — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-1
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.48 xG 1.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
335 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav beat Hradec Kralove 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mlada Boleslav found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 60% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 40%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.48 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 0.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Mlada Boleslav 3-1 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 36%, draw 29%, Hradec Kralove 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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