IF Karlstad 1-2 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
+26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-2
AWAY FBK Karlstad
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad edged past IF Karlstad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IF Karlstad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 53% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 47%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad?

IF Karlstad 1-2 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 44%, draw 21%, FBK Karlstad 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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