Reynir Sandgerdi 1-1 Vikingur Olafsvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
3.59
Over Pick
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.5pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik The Market 69%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.26/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-85% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.09.2022 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 2-1 HT 0-0 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi İZL2
29.06.2022 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi 3-4 HT 3-3 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL2
POST-MATCH Reynir Sandgerdi vs Vikingur Olafsvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reynir Sandgerdi and Vikingur Olafsvik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur Olafsvik at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vikingur Olafsvik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Reynir Sandgerdi and 3.00 for Vikingur Olafsvik.

What was the final score of Reynir Sandgerdi vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Reynir Sandgerdi 1-1 Vikingur Olafsvik in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reynir Sandgerdi vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur Olafsvik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Reynir Sandgerdi 18%, draw 27%, Vikingur Olafsvik 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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