FH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.20/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.56
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.9 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.25 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-0 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
10.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
23.10.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-0 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
11.07.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
25.04.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.02.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-3
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.19 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 228
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and Fram Reykjavik shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FH Hafnarfjordur at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 54% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 46%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.19 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.67 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 47%, draw 26%, Fram Reykjavik 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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