Smorgon 3-3 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
211 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 0-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
14.04.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 4-1 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
31.07.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 0-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
04.04.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
3-3
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon and Slavia Mozyr shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Smorgon had 34% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 66%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Smorgon and 2.25 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Slavia Mozyr?

Smorgon 3-3 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 28%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 40%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 May 2024
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