Daejeon Korail 1-1 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
1.22/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.07
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
21.07.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.04.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.06.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
05.03.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.09.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
22.05.2021 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail and Ulsan Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Korail at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.17 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Daejeon Korail 1-1 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 41%, draw 35%, Ulsan Citizen 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daejeon Korail), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →