Ermenistan (K) 2-1 Kazakistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kazakistan (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
05.12.2023 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) AVKUL
15.06.2021 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) HAZ
POST-MATCH Ermenistan (K) vs Kazakistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ermenistan (K) squeezed past Kazakistan (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kazakistan (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kazakistan (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ermenistan (K) and 3.00 for Kazakistan (K).

What was the final score of Ermenistan (K) vs Kazakistan (K)?

Ermenistan (K) 2-1 Kazakistan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan (K) vs Kazakistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kazakistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan (K) 27%, draw 30%, Kazakistan (K) 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kazakistan (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kazakistan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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