Elfsborg 0-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 May 2025

Elfsborg
0-2 HT 0-0
Hammarby
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.48
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.58
X/2
11%
6.15
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.04
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.22
+70% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
21.9 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elfsborg vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.07
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 460
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.04.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
13.08.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
23.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.07.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 2-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 0-2 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
0-2
AWAY Hammarby
1.56 xG 1.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
189 Passes 531
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 43
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Elfsborg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 31% of the ball to Hammarby's 69%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.56 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elfsborg and 1.33 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Hammarby?

Elfsborg 0-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 40%, draw 25%, Hammarby 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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