Okzhetpes 3-2 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.60/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.94
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
01.10.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 0-2 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
15.03.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
17.10.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes edged past Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Okzhetpes made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Okzhetpes had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Okzhetpes and 1.00 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Okzhetpes 3-2 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 39%, draw 28%, Kyzyl-Zhar 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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