Afturelding 5-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 31 May 2026

Afturelding
5-1 HT 4-0
Fylkir
📅31/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2026

Afturelding vs Fylkir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afturelding v Fylkir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.84/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.94
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Afturelding vs Fylkir Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fylkir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
01.07.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 2-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding swept aside Fylkir 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Afturelding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Afturelding and 2.00 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Fylkir?

Afturelding 5-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 36%, draw 24%, Fylkir 40%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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