Meksika 1-0 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Türk Takımları, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 30% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.23
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
X/2
13%
9.32
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.02
2/X
9%
16.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Avustralya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.20 xG 0.99
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
539 Passes 176
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Meksika Meksika 2-2 HT 0-1 Avustralya Avustralya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
1-0
AWAY Avustralya
0.59 xG 0.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
541 Passes 338
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika nicked a narrow win over Avustralya 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Meksika had 60% of the ball to Avustralya's 40%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.59 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Avustralya?

Meksika 1-0 Avustralya in the Friendlies - Türk Takımları on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Meksika 49%, draw 26%, Avustralya 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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