Varnsdorf 3-1 Opava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Opava EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -23%
2.32/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
+56% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Opava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-1 HT 1-1 Opava Opava ÇEK2
28.07.2023 Opava Opava 1-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
28.05.2023 Opava Opava 2-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
31.07.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 2-1 Opava Opava ÇEK2
30.04.2022 Opava Opava 3-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
24.11.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-3 HT 0-1 Opava Opava ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
3-1
AWAY Opava
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Opava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf saw off Opava 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varnsdorf as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 50% of the ball to Opava's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Opava led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.83 for Opava.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Opava?

Varnsdorf 3-1 Opava in the Czech Republic - FNL on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Opava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 41%, draw 25%, Opava 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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