San Telmo 1-2 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.9pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.10
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi squeezed past San Telmo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Atletico Aldosivi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Atletico Aldosivi?

San Telmo 1-2 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Aldosivi 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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