Baranovichi 0-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov EU Bookmakers 34%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.71
+39% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov 1-1 HT 1-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
23.10.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 3-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
08.08.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
0-1
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtyor Petrikov nicked a narrow win over Baranovichi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtyor Petrikov as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baranovichi had 55% of the ball to Shakhtyor Petrikov's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Petrikov led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baranovichi and 2.00 for Shakhtyor Petrikov.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Baranovichi 0-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov in the Belarus - 1st Division on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtyor Petrikov win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 35%, draw 25%, Shakhtyor Petrikov 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtyor Petrikov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtyor Petrikov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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