Avai 1-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 Jul 2024

Avai
1-1 HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
📅31/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Avai vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+7.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-7.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.6pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.19/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.27
-24% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
23.2 Crosses 14.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Avai vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.49 xG 1.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
11.06.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
24.11.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR2
19.08.2020 Avai Avai 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Avai 1-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.36 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avai vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai and Botafogo SP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Avai had 57% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.36 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Avai and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Avai 1-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avai 42%, draw 35%, Botafogo SP 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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