Muscel 4-2 F. Moreni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muscel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY F. Moreni EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muscel
4-2
AWAY F. Moreni
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Muscel vs F. Moreni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muscel beat F. Moreni 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Muscel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Muscel had 56% of the ball to F. Moreni's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Muscel vs F. Moreni?

Muscel 4-2 F. Moreni in the Romania - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muscel vs F. Moreni?

Before kick-off our model rated an F. Moreni win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Muscel 37%, draw 26%, F. Moreni 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (F. Moreni) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (F. Moreni) ✓ Over 2.5
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