Miguel Iturralde vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miguel Iturralde v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Miguel Iturralde 1-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Miguel Iturralde and Emelec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Emelec carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Miguel Iturralde had 52% of the ball to Emelec's 48%, shots finished 10-6.
What was the final score of Miguel Iturralde vs Emelec?
Miguel Iturralde 1-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Cup on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miguel Iturralde vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated an Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Miguel Iturralde 20%, draw 20%, Emelec 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.