Karvina 1-0 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.60/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.08
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK2
05.08.2022 Karvina Karvina 3-2 HT 1-2 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
30.09.2020 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 0-2 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEKK
12.09.2015 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-0
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
15 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina squeezed past Graffin Vlasim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karvina as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Graffin Vlasim led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Karvina and 1.75 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Graffin Vlasim?

Karvina 1-0 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karvina 53%, draw 23%, Graffin Vlasim 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karvina), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK2 More Czech Republic - FNL
31 Jul 2026
18:00 Viktoria Zizkov vs Prostejov Analysis →
19:00 Pribram vs Opava Analysis →
19:00 SK Kladno vs Banik Ostrava II Analysis →
20:00 MAS Taborsko vs Dukla Prag Analysis →