FK Rodina Moskva 2-4 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Jul 2026

FK Rodina Moskva
2-4 HT 1-1
Rostov
📅31/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2026/2027

FK Rodina Moskva vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.51
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
12%
6.19
X/2
17%
5.11
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
14%
3.34
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Rodina Moskva v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 43%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +27%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.90
-100% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
– Crosses 18.2
– Yellow Cards 2.0

FK Rodina Moskva 2-4 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2-4
AWAY Rostov
0.58 xG 2.05
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
205 Passes 223
12 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov got the better of FK Rodina Moskva 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Rostov made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.58 to 2.05.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Rostov?

FK Rodina Moskva 2-4 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 32%, draw 28%, Rostov 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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