Hamilton 2-2 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

Hamilton
2-2 HT 0-0
Airdrieonians
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Hamilton vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.84
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.21/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.79
-21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Airdrieonians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
20.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.05.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
01.05.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
13.03.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
02.03.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
23.08.2003 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton and Airdrieonians shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?

Hamilton 2-2 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 38%, draw 29%, Airdrieonians 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamilton), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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