Almeria vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
4-2
HT 4-1
Almeria
İS2
Almeria 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria and Sporting Gijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Almeria had 59% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 41%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.05 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Almeria and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Almeria 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Almeria 50%, draw 26%, Sporting Gijon 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almeria), BTTS No went the other way.