Tenerife II 3-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
3-1
AWAY Melilla
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II beat Melilla 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Tenerife II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife II had 50% of the ball to Melilla's 50%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Melilla?

Tenerife II 3-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 34%, draw 32%, Melilla 34%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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