Freiburg (K) 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

Freiburg (K)
2-3 HT 1-2
Bayer Leverkusen (K)
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
31%
-10.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.72 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) edged past Freiburg (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 54% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 46%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 21%, draw 31%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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