Trans Narva 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.48
-25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-1D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
16.03.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-5 HT 0-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 2-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
15.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
11.06.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
28.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu squeezed past Trans Narva 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 56% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 44%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Trans Narva 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 44%, draw 25%, JK Tammeka Tartu 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trans Narva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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