Dundela 3-3 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.89/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.00
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
11.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
03.09.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.02.2022 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2021 Dundela Dundela 0-4 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KILK
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela and Ballinamallard United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundela at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundela and 1.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ballinamallard United?

Dundela 3-3 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dundela 45%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
31 Aug 2024
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