Asker 1-0 Ullern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

Asker
1-0 HT 0-0
Ullern
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.05
2-3 Goals
38%
2.44
4-5 Goals
35%
2.35
6+ Goals
12%
3.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+13.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asker EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullern EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
3.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.97
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
550 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asker
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ullern
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Ullern Ullern 2-1 HT 1-1 Asker Asker NOR4
18.05.2022 Ullern Ullern 3-0 HT 1-0 Asker Asker NOK
POST-MATCH Asker vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asker squeezed past Ullern 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asker as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ullern led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asker and 2.50 for Ullern.

What was the final score of Asker vs Ullern?

Asker 1-0 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asker vs Ullern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asker win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Asker 56%, draw 17%, Ullern 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asker) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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