Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
2.08/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.69
+24% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-3
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow squeezed past Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 62% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 38%, shots finished 21-13.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Hutnik Krakow?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 56%, draw 20%, Hutnik Krakow 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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