Povazska Bystrica 3-1 Petrzalka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.53/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.91
+5% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Povazska Bystrica
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Petrzalka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-1 HT 2-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
27.08.2023 Petrzalka Petrzalka 0-1 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
04.03.2023 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-1 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
07.08.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 2-1 HT 0-1 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
POST-MATCH Povazska Bystrica vs Petrzalka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Povazska Bystrica saw off Petrzalka 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Petrzalka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Povazska Bystrica had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Povazska Bystrica and 1.00 for Petrzalka.

What was the final score of Povazska Bystrica vs Petrzalka?

Povazska Bystrica 3-1 Petrzalka in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Povazska Bystrica vs Petrzalka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrzalka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Povazska Bystrica 34%, draw 24%, Petrzalka 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Petrzalka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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