Al Hazm 1-0 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 34%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.30
-100% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
295 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
19.12.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
05.03.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
17.10.2021 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
20.10.2019 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
03.02.2019 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
1-0
AWAY Al Faisaly
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm squeezed past Al Faisaly 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Hazm found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Hazm had 45% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Hazm and 1.17 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Faisaly?

Al Hazm 1-0 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 39%, draw 29%, Al Faisaly 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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