ES Tunis 3-0 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 33% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-18.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.02/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.65
+21% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
473 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
4W-2D-0L
AWAY US Tataouine
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
27.08.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
23.05.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
05.02.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
05.11.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-0 HT 2-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1A
10.04.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1A
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis ran out comfortable winners over US Tataouine 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ES Tunis and 0.50 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs US Tataouine?

ES Tunis 3-0 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 59%, draw 22%, US Tataouine 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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