Las Palmas 0-1 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.57
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
10%
7.77
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
10%
6.72
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.35
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.5 Crosses 18.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Malaga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 1-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
22.08.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-4 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
29.04.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
20.11.2021 Malaga Malaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
17.04.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
11.10.2020 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-1
AWAY Malaga
0.87 xG 1.03
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
558 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga edged past Las Palmas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Las Palmas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 68% of the ball to Malaga's 32%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.87 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Malaga?

Las Palmas 0-1 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 50%, draw 26%, Malaga 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Las Palmas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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