Racing Ferrol 2-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.07/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.47
+30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
28.05.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
30.04.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
08.01.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
14.11.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
02.02.2020 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
2-1
AWAY Talavera CF
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol edged past Talavera CF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Racing Ferrol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 51% of the ball to Talavera CF's 49%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.33 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Talavera CF?

Racing Ferrol 2-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 50%, draw 29%, Talavera CF 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Ferrol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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