Sandnes Ulf 4-0 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
8.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
53%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.95/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.07
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +75%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jerv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Jerv Jerv 1-3 HT 1-3 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR3
19.08.2023 Jerv Jerv 0-2 HT 0-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
04.06.2023 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-3 HT 2-2 Jerv Jerv NOR1
18.09.2021 Jerv Jerv 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
27.06.2021 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
07.12.2020 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 3-1 HT 2-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf ran out comfortable winners over Jerv 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandnes Ulf as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 1.33 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Jerv?

Sandnes Ulf 4-0 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 62%, draw 20%, Jerv 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandnes Ulf), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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