Salgueiros 4-2 Pontassolense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.05
No
55%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-10.6pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
29%
+16.2pp
55%
BTTS No
71%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salgueiros EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontassolense EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salgueiros
4-2
AWAY Pontassolense
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salgueiros vs Pontassolense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salgueiros beat Pontassolense 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salgueiros as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Salgueiros had 67% of the ball to Pontassolense's 33%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Salgueiros vs Pontassolense?

Salgueiros 4-2 Pontassolense in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salgueiros vs Pontassolense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salgueiros win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Salgueiros 69%, draw 17%, Pontassolense 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salgueiros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salgueiros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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