Mekelakeya 1-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-24% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-2 HT 0-2 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
21.10.2023 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-1 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-0
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya edged past Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mekelakeya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 40% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 60%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mekelakeya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mekelakeya and 0.50 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Mekelakeya 1-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 33%, draw 33%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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