Budapest Honved 1-5 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 69%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.25/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.97
+28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
01.04.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
06.11.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 5-0 HT 2-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
14.08.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 3-3 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
02.04.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
03.12.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-3 HT 2-2 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
1-5
AWAY Paksi SE
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE cruised past Budapest Honved 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Honved had 40% of the ball to Paksi SE's 60%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Budapest Honved and 2.50 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Paksi SE?

Budapest Honved 1-5 Paksi SE in the Hungary - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 17%, draw 23%, Paksi SE 60%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MACK More Hungary - Cup
31 Oct 2024
14:30 ESMTK vs Gyirmot Analysis →
14:30 Tiszafuredi VSE vs Ferencvaros Analysis →