Metalul Buzau 1-0 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalul Buzau EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -59%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metalul Buzau
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metalul Buzau vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalul Buzau edged past Universitatea Craiova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Universitatea Craiova at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metalul Buzau had 52% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 48%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Metalul Buzau vs Universitatea Craiova?

Metalul Buzau 1-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalul Buzau vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Metalul Buzau 22%, draw 22%, Universitatea Craiova 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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