31/10/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Bela Krajina vs Polana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
39%
21%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
37%
36%
Under 2.5
38%
64%
Over 2.5
62%
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
41%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bela Krajina v Polana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bela Krajina
The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Polana
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
409 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bela Krajina vs Polana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bela Krajina nicked a narrow win over Polana 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bela Krajina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bela Krajina vs Polana?
Bela Krajina 1-0 Polana in the Slovenia - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bela Krajina vs Polana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bela Krajina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bela Krajina 43%, draw 21%, Polana 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bela Krajina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bela Krajina)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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31 Oct 2024