BUL 1-0 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.2pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.60
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bright Stars
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
15.09.2023 Bright Stars Bright Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 BUL BUL UGA
11.03.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 3-0 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
17.12.2021 BUL BUL 0-0 HT 0-0 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-0
AWAY Bright Stars
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL squeezed past Bright Stars 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 52% of the ball to Bright Stars's 48%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for BUL and 1.00 for Bright Stars.

What was the final score of BUL vs Bright Stars?

BUL 1-0 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BUL 47%, draw 31%, Bright Stars 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5
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