Kapfenberger SV 4-1 Austria Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.8
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
19%
5.8
X/2
11%
5.65
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.66
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Salzburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.60/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Austria Salzburg
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
25.05.2016 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
12.04.2016 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-4 HT 0-3 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
20.11.2015 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-3 HT 0-2 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
15.09.2015 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
4-1
AWAY Austria Salzburg
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV cruised past Austria Salzburg 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Kapfenberger SV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 40% of the ball to Austria Salzburg's 60%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.00 for Austria Salzburg.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Salzburg?

Kapfenberger SV 4-1 Austria Salzburg in the Austria - 1st Division on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 42%, draw 21%, Austria Salzburg 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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