Warta Poznan 4-2 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
13%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan saw off Kalisz 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Kalisz?

Warta Poznan 4-2 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 62%, draw 20%, Kalisz 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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