Başakşehir FK 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.79
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.66
X/2
7%
7.41
X/X
19%
4.45
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.71
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -24%
1.51/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.89
+5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
18.2 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.05.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
09.01.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-4 HT 1-4 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK BİL
20.12.2008 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 5-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
06.09.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK HAZ
09.04.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
30.10.2006 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 2-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.69 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 59% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.69 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Kocaelispor?

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 43%, draw 31%, Kocaelispor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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