Kampala City 4-2 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.30/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.99
+22% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +80%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
4-2
AWAY Calvary
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City saw off Calvary 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kampala City had 70% of the ball to Calvary's 30%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Calvary?

Kampala City 4-2 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 63%, draw 23%, Calvary 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
31 Oct 2025
16:00 Buhimba United Saints vs SC Villa Analysis →