Diriyah 5-2 Al Jubail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 31 Dec 2025

📅31/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
78%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.2pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.02/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.48
+54% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Al Jubail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah cruised past Al Jubail 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Al Jubail?

Diriyah 5-2 Al Jubail in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 31/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Al Jubail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 74%, draw 17%, Al Jubail 9%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5
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