Brackley Town 3-1 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.04
-33% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Banbury United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
01.01.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
26.12.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
3-1
AWAY Banbury United
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town beat Banbury United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 44% of the ball to Banbury United's 56%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brackley Town and 0.33 for Banbury United.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Banbury United?

Brackley Town 3-1 Banbury United in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 52%, draw 28%, Banbury United 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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