Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

Hemel Hempstead Town
2-3 HT 2-1
St. Albans City
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hemel Hempstead Town v St. Albans City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.19/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
-24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.01.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
22.02.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
02.01.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
16.02.2021 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 St. Albans City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-3
AWAY St. Albans City
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 33% of the ball to St. Albans City's 67%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.67 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 41%, draw 27%, St. Albans City 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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