Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.55
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Braintree Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
01.01.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.12.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
08.02.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.12.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 3-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
02.01.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 0-2 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City cruised past Braintree Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.00 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree Town in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 44%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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