Warrington Town 1-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 46%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.54/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.04
+93% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chester
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 1-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-0
AWAY Chester
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town nicked a narrow win over Chester 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Warrington Town had 49% of the ball to Chester's 51%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Chester?

Warrington Town 1-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 33%, draw 27%, Chester 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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